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I don’t know much about financial markets, it’s not my field, but I was wondering how you all think the market will do tomorrow?
Will it stabilize somewhat, finish at about the same as today, shoot up, or completely collapse?
What’s your educated guess?
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When I was younger the biggest question I had was working out where can I learn about the stock market? I brought up by two amazing parents who gave me all of the love and support that any child could ask for but unfortunately they knew nothing about investing. This is a common problem for lots of children that are interested in subjects that their parents of family have very little knowledge in. So what is a person supposed to do they want some stock market advice or a few stock market books? Basically I want to know ‘Where can I learn about the Stock Market?’.
Well I am here to tell you that we are living one of the most amazing times in history. Every single person in the western world has access to the internet. If you can’t afford it at home then most cities have public libraries that will offer free access. What does this have to do with learning about the stock market and stock market information? Everything!
No one should ever need to ask where can I learn about the stock market any more because there is enough quality free stock market information available on the internet for everybody to get stock market help. If you want stock market programs or stock market reports they are available for free on line. If you are interested in a particular stock market book or a stock recommendation chances are they will be available online. Do you follow the asx stock or the dow stock, do you live in Japan or Denmark? It simply doesn’t matter because with the internet you will be able to find high quality information about the share market of your choice.
So rather than asking where can I learn about the stock market, perhaps you should be asking what can I learn about the stock market? Let’s have a quick look at the different levels of stock market educations available.
1. The most basic ‘where can I learn about the stock market’ questions are for complete beginners eg. What is the share market? What are stock shares? How do I buy stock?
2. The second level of ‘where can I learn about the stock market’ education is to start looking at some stock market strategies. For instance should you simply buy and hold or are there better ways to make bigger and safer profits? You can also start looking at some analysis and stock market graphs or stock market software. At this stage you should definitely start keeping an eye on a group or stocks and the stock market prices
3. The last level of ‘where can I learn about the stock market’ education is to start thinking about buying actual stocks and implementing strategies. For instance there are many companies that will give you a complete stock market report or a particular stock report. There are plenty of websites that send out a free daily stock market update. These reports are incredibly beneficial to the novice investor as it allows them to start understanding the language and beliefs of a professional investor.
So what are you waiting for? I never want to here the question where can I learn about the stock market again. Simply get on the internet and start researching the stock market today.
The Whitney Theater (Hamden, CT) marquee advertised movies for children (“Gidget”…”The High and the Mighty”). Every kids matinee, the manager would pick a ticket out of a large popcorn box. He would give the winner candy, free soda and popcorn, or a toy connected to the movie.
One afternoon he read the numbers on my ticket stub. The prize was an air-pumped rocket. My friend Elly and I went to an open field, pumped it as hard as we could, and let it go. It went straight up, stalled, lost momentum, nose-dived and hit the sidewalk.
Stock Markets soar and crash too. Stock Market traders sometimes become kids with a toy. Every day the market pumps itself up. Indices spiral upward making many giddy with kiddish delight; nobody wants this rocket to fall from its lofty heights. With little notice, the market stalls, momentum is lost, and markets crash.
Simple laws of gravity inform us that upward moves of any force require energy and momentum. The stock market is ruled by the same laws. Markets cannot, will not, and have not moved in one direction without correcting. This means that bull markets are not forever, and bear markets are bearable.
“What happened?”
My toy rocket did not give me any warning when falling to reality. Stock markets project warning signs when upward momentum stalls. You never want markets to go up forever. It is best when markets move up, pause, contract, and build a base before making their next move.
A base-line provides support for a market index like the Dow or the S&P. Long support lines give investors solace because it takes a lot of sellers to break through it. A support line or base (see image) is a trading pattern of stock buying and selling with little price change.
No support means the market index has potential to keep falling until it finds a support line/base or bottom. Markets stall when reaching a high price on average daily stock trading volume. Bulls (buyers) will strain to push the markets upward, but Bears (sellers) thwart the momentum. An excessive number of sellers (many more than the average) can force an index/stock to new lows.
“Make it go higher!”
My toy rocket did not reach heights too fast. Elly and I were ten or eleven years old; we wanted that rocket to disappear in the clouds. Many investors act the same way; they want the markets to go up and up because it means more money. When markets hit successive days of positive returns, investors get starry-eyed. We like it when Neil Cavuto (among others) reports new highs for the Dow (read ” The Dow Jones Industrial Average: Failing the Average Investor” by Steven Selengut).
Dizzying heights cause most investors to miss subtle market moves. Stocks/indices must move higher on strong buying volume. When markets reach a bench-marked high level, getting past it will take three times the average number of daily buyers.If the price stalls at the bench-marked high and the buying volume is less than the daily average, index prices decline.
“Don’t worry.”
Elly never worried; I always worried. When that rocket went off, I feared it would break a window or hurt someone. Elly said, “Just pump it Ray and let it go!” Some stock investors never worry. Wise Wall Streeters know that “The market needs to climb a wall of worry.” War, high oil prices, poor consumer sentiment, and Federal Reserve rate increases are walls of worry. Euphoric investors topple markets.
Something to Fear
The Vix Index is the “fear index” When the Vix spikes, worry increases; when the Vix is down, optimism is excessive. Today, May 22, 2006), the Vix spiked. The VIX “is a good indicator of the level of fear or greed in U.S. and global capital markets. When investors are fearful, the VIX level is significantly higher than normal.” (Antognelli, Ferreira, McArdle, and Traub. “Fear and Greed in Global Asset Allocation.” The Journal of Investing. (Spring 2000), pp. 27 – 32). Every rocket must return to earth for refueling. I learned this with my friend Elly and my toy rocket.
Want to build a toy rocket? Gary Rollins tells you how in his articleBuilding A Model Rocket Can Be A Great Learning Experience
The stock market is not democratic. Changes in the stock market, far from being an honest representation of the state of the nation’s economy, are nothing more than a barometer for the wealthy, educated elite whose fortunes are tied to Wall Street’s performance, while the great majority of the population become spectators in increasing numbers with every advance or decline. Psychology, technology, education and social status all have become barriers preventing the equitable distribution of the gifts of regulated equities, and worse, perpetuate the imbalance by their very nature.
In the stock market, the rich get richer while the rest…just think they do.
There is an unspoken myth that participation in the stock market is wide and deep in America, and that its fortunes are egalitarian – truly a democracy open to all, and with an even shot at bonanza. In a sense, Wall Street has come to define America, and the equality of opportunity it represents. No matter how humble of station, the American dream is available through prudent investment in the stock market over the long term.
The mainstream media in the United States supports this supposition, the rise of business and investment shows, finance segments in news broadcasts, and daily headlines covering every joyous or threatening tilt in the great pinball machine. Finance news has become a growth industry, predicated as it is on the increasing desire of wider groups of viewers for immediate and insightful news and analysis. On the web, sex is still king, with finance porn coming up behind. A noun, a verb, and a stock symbol will get your blog readers almost as fast as a scantily clad avatar.
Only a third of Americans participate in the stock market through the ownership of stocks in one way or another. While that’s a lot of people, it certainly is not the strong majority that a democracy assumes. Still, changes in stock market performance do affect thirty-five percent of the population directly. However the math suggests that the best such a wide group can do in a pseudo zero sum game is to track the changes, their returns never being anything better than average.
Real increases in wealth occur in smaller, segmented sections of the stock buying population as a whole. Owning stocks alone is no guarantee of success.
For most of the stock owning public, stock ownership arrives through the back door, in market products that pool resources like mutual funds, or in market incentives like retirement tax breaks that accompany the buying of stocks in the way 401(k) plans do. People invest for the tax break, and consider the risk small or non-existent that their equity investments in stocks will melt away. They are not stock market investors as much as they are tax break investors.
In terms of risk ownership – where higher risks mean greater potential rewards – the vast amount of stock holding Americans have insulated themselves from the great rewards of stock ownership, by falsely believing their low risk, widely spread holdings will return more than low, widely spread rewards. For people who own mutual funds, automated 401(k) plans, or received stock in the company they work for, the nature and motivation of their investment condemns them to the law of averages, existing always on the fat part of the curve. They will never beat the market, as they are the market.
And while most consider the rapid, inexorable advance of the value of the Dow an important way to have their investments participate in the great game of easy wealth creation, that too is an illusion. Despite its impressive scorecard, the stock market has only averaged a real rate of return of about 4% over the long term, once adjusted for inflation. Hardly the get rich quick – or slow – scheme many believe.
Direct stock market participation is the only way to get out from under the curve, and have any realistic shot at beating inflation and adding real, sports car buying, holiday taking, coke snorting “wealth”.
Pulling together the money, reading a bit about what you are doing, tracking down a broker, and selecting from thousands of stocks to individually purchase in minimum board lots is not something Americans do in any great, relative number. According to the Federal Reserve Board “Survey of Consumer Finances”, only about 18% of stock market participation is done in this fashion. Less than one in five Americans has taken the opportunity to work the American dream directly, and pit their guts and faith against the odds.
Certainly, the advances in online technology over the last decade have made stock market participation wider, what with the profusion of discount brokers and do it yourself, on line stock trading. Wall Street For Dummies. Yet, direct participation in the market has only progressed not much beyond the 18% of 2007, from the 13% of 1991. It has never been easier to buy stocks, and with two major booms, so few people availed themselves the chance to ride the big one. Clearly, the stock market does not represent America, where 80% of the population is not participating directly in the fortunes of the corporate assets of the country, and are not a participating part of a fundamental of free market capitalism.
Contemporary culture is slathered in headlines of Wall Street, the DOW, and NASAQ, giving the impression of a country deeply wired to the fortunes of the market across all demographic spectrums. Stock market participation analysis however, clearly identifies serious barriers to entry that make Wall Street a decidedly closed, club.
A closed club of rich, educated men in high status occupations.
Wealth (like male pattern baldness), is inherited. If you are clever enough to be born to rich, beautiful parents, odds are you are clever enough to have your own kids repeat the trick. Progeny of wealthy households inherit much more than trust accounts. The basic knowledge and principles of the responsibility for all that family capital comes with the suitcase. Other folks, who lack both the capital and the joie de vive, make their first market acquisition from a decidedly disadvantaged place. In a very undemocratic fashion, a major barrier to entry appears to be to whom you were born.
The Federal Reserve Board Survey of Consumer Finances also reveals it’s better to be born a male. Men dominate the world of finance, and women have a long way to go, as you are more than twice as likely to be a man if you invest directly in the stock market.
Education also forms a barrier, as there is a direct correlation between rates of stock market participation and levels of schooling. Not surprisingly, the world of finance being a complex and disciplined world, better-educated Americans are over represented in the markets. Thirty five per cent of College graduate households owned stocks, more than all other classes combined. Easy access to transparent information is a necessary part of an informed market decision, and college grads it appears, know how to find it.
Another trait shared amongst the wealthy, smart and male is high status occupations. It turns out very few wealthy, well-educated men work in the bowels of fast food, and very few shopping cart handlers invest in stocks to any degree. While no studies exist to support this kind of detail, one imagines the most popular job description amongst stock market participants is “VP of something”.
Just being in the market carries a value added social cache on the greens or at dinner parties, and knowing the lingo is a secret hand shake of sorts on long, transatlantic flights in first class; “Our people are telling me I have to shift more trust liability into higher leveraged, off shore asset classes. Who do you like in Singapore?” If, on the other hand, the big guy in the center seat keeps saying “I gotta go to the can” all through the flight to St. Pete’s, odds are you are not in the markets.
In the end, stocks carry a degree of risk that most Americans prefer to avoid. The greater the degree of risk assumed, the greater the amount of the reward. In this fashion, not just stock market participation, but market profitability are tied to degrees of risk. Those willing and able to shoulder greater risk tend to consolidate and get wealthier, and at rates beyond those whose risk tolerance is just not up to it.
Economic Sociology tells us that both economic disposition and social strata are indicators of higher risk tolerance, and thus are rewarded more regularly with outsized cheques. In essence, stinking rich folks can afford to take it in the teeth occasionally, however embarrassing that may be. Risk takes on another order of magnitude when the difference in a loss is between the polite tut tut’s at the club, and living in your minivan with the family. The opportunity to participate in risk is limited by the objective magnitude of failure.
Behavioural Finance suggests that risk tolerance is also governed by human foibles. Most small investors understand that the markets are a game fixed in favour of the goliath and well connected. This keeps market participation to only the foolhardy, or as researchers have come to know them, gamblers. Gambling requires a certain set of unfortunate human traits; a taste for un-rational risk, and the sad affliction to always overestimate ability and profits, while to simultaneously ignore or rationalize away the losses. Finance is another sport where testosterone plays a deciding role. It’s a male thing.
Entry to Wall Street is barred to those without high levels of economic and social capital. The size and influence of that capital dictates the amount of risk aversion, and acts as a limiter on the opportunity to consolidate great wealth from the markets. In this way, free markets, capitalism, and liberal economics have fashioned a system of wealth and power that is increasingly oligarchic, self perpetuating, and completely undemocratic.
The staggering bull market just ended only served to speed up the process, as boom markets favour those who can push the limits of risk with mountains of capital. The limits of risk apparently being highly leveraged in a head scratching soup of acronyms, with absolutely no idea of what will happen if for once, you were wrong.
The brutal market collapse and general maelstrom of economic disarray in late 2008 laid bare the inequities of free market equity investing. The greater part of America that invested in the markets had their hopes and dreams shattered, and their ability to spend cauterized. That spelled job loss and eviction for the four fifths of the country that was living beyond their means, trying to keep up with a dream they were silently denied entry to, and dependent on the largess of the market investors seemingly endless disposable income.
For those who had the opportunity to take the biggest risks, and for whom those successive risks had ensured survival in an ever-decreasing club of consolidated wealth and power… they all took “haircuts”. For this elite class of investor, boom and bust did little more than jiggle about very big numbers on streams of personal financial statements. If you found you had to sell the home in the Hamptons in the worst real estate market in history, you were not in this class.
Far from spreading wealth, boom markets concentrate gain, and solidify ownership of America’s real power elite. In a crash, the process is the same but brutal, when those without the resources to stay the course and take real risk on recovery are shut out, or worse, lose all faith in the value of risk and the hopelessness of the Wall Street game.
When the Dow Jones Industrial Average rises, who does it benefit? Those with investments in the stock market, who have the social standing and resources to accept the risks that reward so few. The great balance of traders – small, individual traders alone or in groups – can seldom do any better than average – and average barely keeps ahead of inflation. For the two thirds of Americans not in the markets at all, it hardly matters a whiff.
There is nothing democratic about “the markets”.
The stock market is a subject of interest for many people. Unfortunately, the majority of these people do not possess any information regarding the stock market and they prefer to use the Internet. The abundance of information present online is well received, particularly by those who are interested in the stock for market for beginners. There are numerous publishers who try to cash in on the existence of the stock market. However, you should be aware that one single book can never be sufficient to provide all the necessary information that you need on the stock market or on stock market companies such as Dow Futures Trading.
As a beginner on the stock market, you first need to be very clear about your objectives. You must realize that even a well-written and comprehensive book about the stock market can be completely useless if it doesn’t match your current knowledge level. The solution is to opt for a book or website that focuses 100% on presenting the stock market for beginners. After you have gained all this knowledge, you can proceed towards a more advanced level and discover reputed stock market companies such as Dow Futures Trading. In this way, your research will be systematic and meaningful.
When reading about the stock market for beginners, it might be a good idea to gather some basic facts. The stock market can be loosely defined as a platform where various shares of companies who trade publicly are bought as well as sold. A share of stock in this regard will be a claim of ownership in any given company. In other words, if you happen to own any particular share of stock, you will be rightfully and legally entitled to return of your investment during situations of profit earning. Dow Futures Trading is a popular and reputed trading company where you can consider investing.
The stock market for beginners in current times is very advantageous, given the development of computer technology and the appearance of the Internet. Not only can you learn valuable information but you can also build a portfolio. Then you can closely follow the portfolio and witness its level of performance. This exercise can help you develop investor skills without taking any actual risks. When you are reading about Dow Futures Trading, you will know the difference between a public traded company and a family or private company. The former entails the selling of shares to anyone who wants to buy them as opposed to the latter where usually the shares are never sold to the public or other outsiders.
If you are considering the stock market for beginners, then you should definitely think about obtaining a brokerage account. This way you can start investing as soon as you become familiar with common operations. They will also recommend you to carefully read the terms and requirements of your new account, remaining completely informed about existing fees. This sector is very unpredictable and risk-prone venture. You should weigh out the pros and cons before you actually start investing in it. Dow Futures Trading is well suited for amateur investors in stock market.
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